The commuted value decision
When you leave a defined-benefit plan before retirement, you’re often handed one of the most consequential — and irreversible — financial decisions of your life: keep the deferred pension, or take its commuted value (CV) as a lump sum. Here’s how to think about it like an engineer.
What “commuted value” means
The commuted value is the present value today of the lifetime pension you’ve earned — the lump sum that, invested, is actuarially meant to reproduce that income. Because it’s a present value, CVs rise when interest rates are low and fall when rates are high. The same pension can be worth very different lump sums depending on when you’re offered it.
The tax trap nobody warns you about
So a “$900,000 commuted value” is never $900,000 in your pocket — a chunk goes to a LIRA, and the taxable excess is hit hard before you see it.
The hurdle rate: the core of the math
The cleanest way to frame it: what return would the invested CV need to earn, every year for life, to match the guaranteed pension? That’s your hurdle rate.
- If the hurdle rate is high (say 6–7%+), the pension is a great deal — you’d need aggressive, sustained returns to beat it. Keep the pension.
- If the hurdle rate is low (say 3–4%), the lump sum is more competitive, especially if you value control and estate.
Factors that push each way
| Lean toward keeping the pension | Lean toward taking the CV |
|---|---|
| Pension is indexed to inflation | Pension is not indexed |
| Average or good health / longevity | Health concerns / family history |
| Plan sponsor is financially strong | Concerns about plan solvency |
| You value guaranteed simplicity | You value control & flexibility |
| No need to leave a large estate | Estate / legacy is a priority |
| You’d struggle to manage a lump sum | You’re a disciplined long-term investor |
A note on “but I could invest it myself”
Technical professionals often back themselves to out-invest the pension — and sometimes that’s right. But be honest about three things: the guaranteed, sequence-risk-free nature of the pension, the immediate tax on the excess cash, and your own behaviour in a 40% drawdown. The pension removes exactly the risks that are hardest to manage.
How we’d approach it
We model both paths side by side: the after-tax lump sum (LIRA + taxed excess) invested under conservative and realistic assumptions, versus the guaranteed (and possibly indexed) pension — both stress-tested for longevity and market sequence — then weigh it against your other assets, goals, and estate wishes. No product is sold either way.
Checklist
- Get the CV quote and the deferred-pension figures in writing.
- Calculate how much exceeds the MTV and the tax on that cash.
- Estimate the hurdle rate the invested CV must beat.
- Check whether the pension is indexed and the plan’s funded status.
- Be honest about health, estate goals, and investing discipline.
- Remember: the deadline is real and the choice is permanent — model it before you sign.
Back to DB vs DC pensions, or see how it fits the bigger picture in Your FIRE number.